Fiscal Intervention and MSME Growth Performance: The Mediating Role of Business Model Innovation during COVID-19 in Ghana.
Edmund Ayesu
Kumasi Technical University
Bismark Q. Parker
Kumasi Technical University
John Agyei
Kumasi Technical University
Raymond Akantege
Kumasi Technical University
Keywords: fiscal interventions, business model innovation, MSME performance, COVID 19 and structural equation modeling.
Abstract
This study examines the relationship between fiscal interventions and micro, small, and medium
enterprise (MSME) growth performance in Ghana during COVID-19, with particular emphasis on the
mediating role of business model innovation (BMI). Using cross-sectional data from 305 MSMEs in
Kumasi Metropolis, we employed a three-model structural equation approach to test relationships
among fiscal stimulus, BMI, and enterprise performance. Contrary to theoretical expectations, the
findings revealed a consistent and statistically significant negative relationship between fiscal stimulus
interventions and enterprise performance across all model specifications. No significant mediation
effect was observed through business model innovation pathways, suggesting that fiscal support
mechanisms failed to promote strategic transformations necessary for sustainable competitive
advantage. Interestingly, the study uncovered evidence of performance-driven innovation patterns,
where successful enterprises demonstrated greater propensity for revenue model adaptations,
indicating reactive rather than proactive innovation behavior. These counterintuitive findings
challenge conventional assumptions about fiscal policy effectiveness in emerging economies and
suggest that COVID-19 support mechanisms may have inadvertently created dependency relationships
or misaligned incentives that hindered rather than enhanced enterprise growth. The results further
highlighted the need for capability-centered policy designs that emphasize strategic guidance
and performance-linked incentives over unconditional financial transfers in MSME development
programs.
Author Biographies
Edmund Ayesu, Kumasi Technical University
Centre for Social Science Research
Bismark Q. Parker, Kumasi Technical University
Centre for Social Science Research
John Agyei, Kumasi Technical University
Centre for Social Science Research
Raymond Akantege, Kumasi Technical University
Centre for Social Science Research